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Turkish Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 2024, Vol 24, Num, 1     (Pages: TRJFAS23787)

Predicting the Trajectories of Drifting Objects in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea

Serdar TOMBUL 1 ,Emre TÜKENMEZ 1 ,Murat OKSUZ 1 ,Hüsne ALTIOK 1

1 Istanbul University, Institute of Marine Sciences and Management, Istanbul, Türkiye DOI : 10.4194/TRJFAS23787 Viewed : 1318 - Downloaded : 1165 Forecasting of the tracks of drifting objects in the sea is a complicated process due to the effects of many phenomena such currents and wind. In this research, the problem is solved with model data and a basic approach. In this approach, we apply an iterative method based on surface current and wind data to predict the trajectories of possible drifting objects in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. The main surface current circulation has a cyclonic nature, and its impact on the routes of drifting objects is clearly seen. The results of the study are useful for predicting the trajectories of drifting objects and the proposed method and calculations can be roughly used for drifting trajectory prediction. The advantage of this method is that it is user-friendly and provides many tracks in a minute. The biggest uncertainty in this work is obtaining accurate information about where and when the object started to drift. Keywords : Eastern Mediterranean Sea Surface currents Wind speed & direction Trajectory of an object